Posted in Uncategorized
10/13 2009

If You Think Health Care Reform is Expensive

Consider how expensive it would be without it. The Urban Institute’s recent report, The Cost of Failure to Enact Health Reform, provides a state-by-state estimate of Medicaid costs, rates of employer-sponsored insurance, family/employer premium spending, uncompensated care and the uninsured for three different economic scenarios (worst, intermediate, best) between 2009-2019 if no reform measures are enacted.

Consider selected indicators from the worst case scenario for Arizona:

2009
2019
Percent
Medicaid/Chip Spending
$8.9B
$21B
135%
Uncompensated Care
$1.5B
$3.5B
139%
Employer Premium Spending
$7.7B
$18.2B
135%
Individual/Family Spending
$6.1B
$11.7B
92%
Employer-Sponsored Insurance
49.5%
42.9%
-13.3%
Uninsured
22.8%
26.5%
16.2%

The best case scenario is only marginally better. There, Medicaid/CHIP goes up a mere 86%.

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